Ex. 2-Degrees of Probability: Past Progressive

Instructions. Type the past progressive form using the verbs in parenthesis.
Example:
Henry: Sorry I didn't call last night.
Paula: You (must, work) _______________ on an important assignment.
Henry: Yes. I was at the library until midnight doing research for a paper.

must have been working

Explanation

May have been, might have been, had to have been and could have been, + verb-ing refer to the probability of actions occurring or not occurring over a period of time in the past.

Examples
A: Bill wasn't home last night.
B: He had to have been working.
Speaker B is 100% certain that Bill was working.

A: Bill wasn't home last night.
B: He must have been working.
Speaker B is almost certain that Bill was working.

May have been, might have been, and could have been have about the same meaning.
A: Bill wasn't home last night.
B: 1) He may have been working; 2) He might have been working; 3) He could have been working.
Responses 1-3 all express the same idea, that there is a fifty-fifty chance that Bill was working.

Student: I didn't know that we were going to have a test today.
Professor Dowell: You must not have been listening in class yesterday.
Professor Dowell is almost certain that the student was not listening.

Student: I didn't know that we were going to have a test today.
Professor Dowell: You could not have been listening in class yesterday.
Professor Dowell is 100% certain that the student was not listening.